As we approach the end of the year, many buyers assume the real estate market slows to a crawl. With holiday plans, colder weather and shorter days, it can seem like an unlikely moment to make a major purchase. But for those who understand the seasonal patterns of Toronto real estate, December can be an excellent time to secure real value. With the right preparation and the right guidance, buyers can take advantage of conditions that simply do not exist during the busy times in the market.
Understanding the December Advantage
While overall activity typically softens heading into the holidays, the sellers who remain active tend to be motivated. Looking at trends from the past few years helps illustrate this. In 2022 and 2023, the GTA saw lower sales volumes heading into December compared to the Fall months, along with steady or rising levels of new listings. This created a more balanced supply-and-demand environment for buyers. In December 2024, there were just over 3,300 sales across the GTA and the average sale price held close to $1.07 million. Pricing remained stable even as buyers had more selection during a traditionally quieter period. For thoughtful buyers, this combination of additional choice, steady pricing and motivated sellers can create openings that are less common during peak seasons. Even in sought-after neighbourhoods like Cedarvale, Forest Hill North or Humewood, December’s calmer pace can present opportunities that are not always available in the spring.
What Buyers Should Look For
Buying in December requires a slightly different mindset. Winter conditions often reveal things you cannot easily see in the spring, such as drafty windows, roof performance or heating efficiency. Touring homes during colder weather can give buyers a clearer picture of how a property truly functions. With less pressure from competing offers, buyers also have more freedom to compare neighbourhoods, explore different streets and focus on the characteristics that matter most. In certain neighbourhoods, walkability, transit access and proximity to amenities can make a meaningful difference in everyday life, especially during winter months.
Neighbourhood Insights That Matter
December showings also provide valuable insight into neighbourhood atmosphere. For example:
How walkable are the sidewalks?
How well maintained are local streets?
Are nearby parks and businesses active even on colder days?
These small details help paint a complete picture of what living in a community will feel like year-round. For families, seeing how schools, recreation centres and community hubs operate in winter can be especially helpful when making long-term decisions.
Mortgage Rate Conditions
The past few years have also shown steadier mortgage rate conditions heading into winter. In both late 2023 and late 2024 the Bank of Canada held rates steady in December, which gave buyers clearer expectations as they planned for the months ahead. When borrowing costs remain predictable, buyers can make decisions with greater confidence. Combined with a quieter seasonal market, this creates a practical window for those considering a purchase in the near future.
Negotiating With Confidence
With fewer buyers actively searching, those who stay engaged in December can negotiate from a position of preparation and clarity. Sellers who list late in the year are often motivated to complete a transaction before January, and well-prepared buyers can take advantage of this timing. When combined with the slower winter pace, this modest price movement can create space for strategic negotiation. Working with an agent who understands local patterns and recent comparables allows buyers to structure offers that balance value with opportunity.
Planning For the Months Ahead
While December may not be the busiest time in the real estate calendar, it remains one of the most strategic. For buyers considering a move in early 2026, the weeks ahead offer a chance to get ahead of the competition, take advantage of motivated sellers and secure a home that may have been overlooked during the Fall. By understanding the seasonal dynamics and viewing properties with a long-term perspective, buyers can find opportunities that align with both their goals and their budget.
If you are considering entering the market or exploring whether December may be the right time to make a move, feel free to reach out at lorry@lorrygreenspan.ca. With thoughtful planning and a clear strategy, we can work together to find the right property at the right moment.
Sources: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, Market Watch Report, December 2024.